2015-05-07–2016-01-19
2015 election: campaign director of Lib Dem disaster and promise to 'eat his hat' over exit poll
The party ultimately fell from 56 to eight MPs, an even worse seat result than the exit poll. Ashdown subsequently acknowledged being completely taken by surprise and attributed part of the failure to inaccurate pre-election polls. The controversy concerns strategic responsibility and public embarrassment, not legal wrongdoing.
- State of the evidence
- Documented
- Attribution
- Directly implicated
Sources · 3
- [1]
- [2]The GuardianPaddy Ashdown: opinion polls killed Liberal Democrats' election chancesMediaHigh reliability
- [3]The GuardianFlawed polls had major impact on election result, say Paddy AshdownMediaHigh reliability
Last verified: 6 September 2026
